Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Tips

Fixture ID: 498988
Girona FC logo
Girona FC

vs

Club Atlético de Madrid logo
Club Atlético de Madrid

Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Kickoff: May 25, 2025 12:00 PM

The final day of the La Liga season sees Girona vs Atletico Madrid at Montilivi. While Diego Simeone’s visitors arrive in third and assured of UEFA Champions League football, Girona have been reliant on late-season resilience, thanks largely to returning veterans. Kick-off is scheduled in Catalonia with Michel’s men seeking a final flourish after what has been a largely disappointing campaign following last year’s top-three finish. Despite key departures last summer and a season spent hovering near the drop zone, Girona’s revival has offered hope, while Atleti’s upturn in form culminated in a 4-1 demolition of Real Betis last week.

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Form & Head-To-Head

Girona FC logo
Girona FC
L D L L L
DateH/AOppScore
Sep 20, 2025 H Levante UD 0–4
Sep 14, 2025 A RC Celta de Vigo 1–1
Aug 30, 2025 H Sevilla FC 0–2
Aug 24, 2025 A Villarreal CF 0–5
Aug 15, 2025 H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–3
Club Atlético de Madrid logo
Club Atlético de Madrid
W D W W W
DateH/AOppScore
Sep 20, 2025 A Levante UD 4–0
Sep 14, 2025 H RC Celta de Vigo 1–1
Aug 30, 2025 A Sevilla FC 2–0
Aug 24, 2025 H Villarreal CF 5–0
Aug 15, 2025 A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–1

Head-to-Head Record
Girona FC Logo
Girona FC
vs
Club Atlético de Madrid Logo
Club Atlético de Madrid

1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Wins

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Team News

Girona vs Atletico Madrid team news reflects contrasting circumstances. The hosts are stretched by injuries, with Donny van de Beek and Bryan Gil remaining unavailable, alongside long-term absentees Ricard Artero, Miguel Gutierrez, and Misehouy. Manager Michel is expected to stick with his experienced core, deploying a 4-2-3-1 system that has stabilised performances in recent weeks. Cristhian Stuani should spearhead the attack, with support from Yaser Asprilla and Viktor Tsygankov in advanced roles. Defensive duties will fall to the likes of Daley Blind and Alejandro Frances, with Krapyvtsov continuing in goal.

Predicted Girona XI (4-2-3-1): Krapyvtsov; Arnau Martinez, Alejandro Frances, Krejci, Blind; Yangel Herrera, Jhon Solis; Tsygankov, Ivan Martin, Yaser Asprilla; Stuani.

In contrast, Atletico Madrid travel to Montilivi with a near full-strength squad. No new injuries have emerged, although Pablo Barrios remains a doubt due to concussion protocols. Julian Alvarez, fresh off a brace against Real Betis, is likely to retain his starting place alongside Alexander Sorloth in a two-man frontline, supported by a solid midfield unit of De Paul, Koke, and Samuel Lino.

Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Javi Galan; Giuliano Simeone, De Paul, Koke, Samuel Lino; Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Girona vs Atletico Madrid betting tips centre around goals at both ends and potential for entertainment despite the end-of-season timing. Girona have scored in all but five of their home games, while Atletico Madrid have only failed to score in six away matches all campaign. The hosts average 1.5 goals per game at Montilivi, while Atleti’s recent form — including their 4-1 win last week — suggests attacking confidence is high.

Given Girona’s recent defensive lapses and Atleti’s attacking fluidity, both teams to score is a compelling market. Girona’s last outing — a 3-2 defeat to Real Sociedad — highlights their capacity to both score and concede freely, particularly when the pressure is eased. With Simeone’s men unlikely to sit deep on the final day, an open contest is expected.

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Match Prediction

Girona vs Atletico Madrid prediction points to an entertaining end-of-season contest. Girona, despite spending much of the campaign fighting relegation, have rediscovered their identity in recent weeks — favouring experience and direct play. Atletico, though already qualified for the Champions League, showed last week that they remain capable of dominant performances when fully engaged.

With Julian Alvarez in form and Girona likely to push forward in front of their home support, this match sets up perfectly for chances at both ends. Atletico’s superior quality in midfield and final third should ultimately give them the edge, but Girona’s resurgence cannot be ignored. A narrow away win with both sides finding the net appears most probable.

Match Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win.

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Correct Score Tips & Prediction

Girona vs Atletico Madrid score prediction leans towards a 2-1 away win. Girona have struggled against higher-ranked sides, winning just six of their 29 games against such opposition and conceding 48 goals in the process. Their vulnerability at the back is well-documented, and Atletico’s sharpness in the final third could be decisive.

Atletico average 1.2 goals per away match and concede just 0.8. Girona’s 27 goals at home in 18 games indicates they have enough firepower to get on the scoresheet. However, the visitors’ experience and control in midfield, coupled with Girona’s defensive absences, should tilt the balance their way.

Correct Score Prediction: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Over/Under goals prediction favours the over 2.5 goals market. Girona’s recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, including their 3-2 loss to Real Sociedad and several previous games involving multiple goals. Atleti’s resurgence in attack, led by Julian Alvarez and supported by Angel Correa and Samuel Lino, makes them more potent than earlier in the season.

Girona have seen over 2.5 goals in 22 of their 37 games this season, and the fixture setup here – with little riding on the result for either side – encourages a more open style of play. Defensively, Girona remain porous, while Atletico possess sufficient variety to exploit spaces.

Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Bet Builder Tip

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Bet Builder tip could revolve around the following selections: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, and Julian Alvarez to score anytime. Alvarez has stepped up impressively in recent weeks, netting twice against Real Betis including a sublime free-kick. His form and positioning make him the most likely scorer again.

Girona are likely to score in front of their fans, especially with Michel deploying a front four that includes veterans like Stuani. Both teams have attacking threats, and given their respective defensive records, goals appear inevitable.

Bet Builder Tip: Both Teams to Score + Over 2.5 Goals + Julian Alvarez to Score Anytime.


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